舰艇协同作战导弹防御模型研究

舰艇协同作战是未来战争的主要作战形式,导弹防御是其主要的作战职责.运用信息论的方法对舰艇协同作战中敌方导弹发射策略的不确定性进行建模,运用可靠性理论对协作效果进行建模,并引进知识的概念作为其度量,同时用边的函数对网络复杂性进行建模,综合这两种因素在以最大化防御时间为总的决策目标,以己方导弹储备和敌方来袭速率为决策因素对导弹防御作出辅助决策.     

A stochastic model for burn‐in procedures in accelerated environment

Burn‐in procedure is a manufacturing technique that is intended to eliminate early failures of system or product. Burning‐in a component or system means to subject it to a period of use prior to being used in field. Generally, burn‐in is considered expensive and so the length of burn‐in is typically limited. Thus, burn‐in is most often accomplished in an accelerated environment in order to shorten the burn‐in process. A new failure rate model for an accelerated burn‐in procedure, which incorporates the accelerated ageing process induced by the accelerated environmental stress, is proposed. Under a more general assumption on the shape of failure rate function of products, which includes the traditional bathtub‐shaped failure rate function as a special case, upper bounds for optimal burn‐in time will be derived. A numerical example will also be given for illustration. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

Transient analysis of Markov models of fault‐tolerant systems with deferred repair using split regenerative randomization

The (standard) randomization method is an attractive alternative for the transient analysis of continuous time Markov models. The main advantages of the method are numerical stability, well‐controlled computation error, and ability to specify the computation error in advance. However, the fact that the method can be computationally very expensive limits its applicability. In this paper, we develop a new method called split regenerative randomization, which, having the same good properties as standard randomization, can be significantly more efficient. The method covers reliability‐like models with a particular but quite general structure and requires the selection of a subset of states and a regenerative state satisfying some conditions. For a class of continuous time Markov models, model class C₂, including typical failure/repair reliability‐like models with exponential failure and repair time distributions and deferred repair, natural selections are available for both the subset of states and the regenerative state and, for those natural selections, theoretical results are available assessing the efficiency of the method in terms of “visible” model characteristics. Those results can be used to anticipate when the method can be expected to be competitive. We illustrate the application of the method using a large class C₂ model and show that for models in that class the method can indeed be significantly more efficient than previously available randomization‐based methods. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

GENDER AWARENESS IN RESEARCH AND POLICY MAKING

Abstract

There is an assumption that we can enhance peacebuilding by improving the tools that we use for assessments, planning and evaluation. However, the focus on tools creates the impression that peacebuilding challenges are technical. Improving tools is not meaningless, but our preoccupation with tools has a negative effect when it becomes a front for avoiding dealing with the deeper inherent contradictions in peacebuilding. There are limits to our knowledge and our ability to engineer specific outcomes in complex systems. There are unrealistically high expectations of coherence, unity of purpose and cooperation among peacebuilding actors. Peacebuilding agents are interconnected, but that does not imply that they have the same objectives, mandates, principles and values. Interconnected problems call for interconnected responses, not for one coherent response. Coherence should not be about negotiating a common position, and then promoting it regardless of changing dynamics. Coherence should be about continuously managing competing interests and interdependencies. The interaction between dissention, competition for resources, and the tension between different approaches and policy choices is not only normal but necessary to ensure the optimal functioning of the system.     

基于最短拦截时间的异面拦截机动轨道设计与优化

本文构建了单脉冲机动在燃耗约束下的最短时间拦截轨道设计模型与求解方法,将用数学泛函求边值问题转换为高次代数方程的求解计算,并用牛顿迭代法进行快速寻根,仿真结果表明模型及算法准确、有效,满足精度要求。     

Zodiac算法新的不可能差分攻击

重新评估了Zodiac算法抵抗不可能差分攻击的能力。通过分析Zodiac算法的线性层,给出了Zodiac算法两条新的14轮不可能差分。利用新的不可能差分,结合Early-Abort技术对完整16轮的Zodiac算法进行了不可能差分攻击。攻击过程中一共恢复6个字节的密钥,其时间复杂度只有2_32.6次加密,数据复杂度约为2_85.6个明文,该攻击结果与已有最好的结果相比,时间复杂度降低了一个因子2₃₃。结果表明由于Zodiac算法线性层的扩散性差,使得该算法对不可能差分分析是不免疫的。     

Zodiac算法新的不可能差分攻击

#重新评估了Zodiac算法抵抗不可能差分攻击的能力。通过分析Zodiac算法的线性层,给出了Zodiac算法两条新的14轮不可能差分。利用新的不可能差分,结合Early-Abort技术对完整16轮的Zodiac算法进行了不可能差分攻击。攻击过程中一共恢复6个字节的密钥,其时间复杂度只有2_32.6次加密,数据复杂度约为2_85.6个明文,该攻击结果与已有最好的结果相比,时间复杂度降低了一个因子2₃₃。结果表明由于Zodiac算法线性层的扩散性差,使得该算法对不可能差分分析是不免疫的。     

基于行为建模的移动代理性能评估

针对移动代理的分布式应用性能评估需求,建立了移动代理生命周期中主要行为的网络负载模型和时间消耗模型.在3种典型分布式应用想定下,分析了基于C＼S模式和移动代理模式的应用实现基本过程,对两种模式下的网络负载和执行时间进行了仿真比较,结果证明了在访问节点数量较多,网络传输速率较低时,移动代理模式的具有更好性能.     

基于复杂排队系统的TOC服务模型与性能分析

三值光学计算机的运算请求处理过程缺乏合理、系统的性能评价标准与体系。基于M/M/1、M/M/n、MX/M/1和M/MB/1构成的复杂排队系统,构建了三值光学计算机的四阶段服务模型,同时建立了立即调度和结束时调度两种不同策略与算法。基于不同排队系统讨论了运算请求的接收时间、预处理时间、运算时间和发送时间的计算方法,进而得到最终响应时间。最后,通过仿真实验对两种策略的模型进行验证,结果表明结束时调度策略明显优于立即调度策略。     

基于CP CI总线的时统模块测量电路设计

为解决时统模块的测试问题,提出了一种基于CPCI总线的数字时统模块测量电路。重点对测量电路的组成、测量原理、CPCI总线接口设计与驱动设计等内容进行了介绍。提出的测量电路满足了4块某型时统模块的批量测试需求。该测量电路具有稳定性高、性价比高、易于实现等优点,适合于工程应用。